^{Source: Predictions based on analysts’ consensus from Visible Alpha}

Coinbase Financial Results: Analysis

Coinbase Global Inc. (COIN) reported mixed results in its Q2 FY 2022 report. Earnings per share (EPS) missed analyst estimates. Coinbase reported losses per share of -$4.98, significantly wider than analysts had predicted. On a somewhat brighter note, the company’s revenue matched analyst expectations. Still, total revenue slid by 63.7% year-over-year (YOY). This performance was heavily affected by a decline of about $1.3 trillion in market capitalization across the cryptocurrency space, or roughly 60% of total value, in Q2. Coinbase’s total trading volume also missed analyst estimates.

Coinbase Total Trading Volume

Coinbase’s total trading volume in the latest quarter was $217.0 billion, down 53.0% YOY and also failing to meet analyst predictions. Coinbase defines trading volume as the total U.S. dollar-equivalent value of matched trades which take place between a buyer and a seller through the Coinbase platform. The amount of trading activity directly impacts Coinbase’s revenue, which is largely derived from transaction fees. Trading activity also reflects Coinbase’s liquidity, overall trading health, and the broader performance of the cryptocurrency economy.

Coinbase said it posted 44% YOY growth in subscription and services revenue for the quarter. It is also taking steps to reduce expenses, including initiating an 18% employee reduction in June.

Coinbase Outlook and Stock Performance

Coinbase expects that total trading volume for Q3 2022 will be lower than Q2 2022 if last quarter’s market trends continue. It did not provide specific guidance for earnings and revenue in its shareholder letter.

Coinbase shares dropped by about 1.4% in extended hours trading immediately following the earnings release. The company’s stock has provided a 1-year trailing total return of -68.7%, well behind the -7.0% total return of the S&P 500, as of Aug. 9, 2022.

Coinbase’s next earnings report (for Q3 FY 2022) is expected to be released on Nov. 8, 2022.